Pineapple

Basket is an index fund for your opinions. Most real-world views don’t map to a single prediction market: expressing a thesis like “AI regulation tightens” means searching about 17k Kalshi markets, picking YES or NO for each relevant one, sizing the positions, and watching the news. That takes hours, and betting on a single contract is all-or-nothing, so one technicality can wipe you out even when you were right. Basket does this from one sentence. Muse Spark searches live Kalshi markets, picks the ones the thesis drives, chooses each side and rates relevance. A risk-budgeting optimizer then weights the positions by relevance, liquidity and volatility, keeping long shots small and dropping near-duplicate markets so you don’t double up on one bet. Saved baskets are paper-traded with live NAV. A background monitor checks news against each contract’s resolution rules: Muse extracts evidence, a trained ridge model scores it, and Basket suggests or automatically runs a rebalance. The result is a managed, diversified position that’s less exposed to any single market and reacts to news faster than you could by hand.