Investment reviews are built on revenue forecasts, but we rarely check those forecasts against what companies later report, and when we do, hindsight makes every miss look obvious, so the lessons are wrong or never reach the next review. Decision Post-Mortem fixes this with a judge that doesn’t know how the story ended: Claude re-forecasts past reviews from only what was known at the time, with names, dates and amounts masked so it can’t recall the outcome. Every miss is then sorted into what we had, what we could have got, and what nobody could have known, and only the lessons that improve forecasts on cases they’ve never seen are applied to the reviews we’re making today.
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